This is an article that Ken wrote several years ago on a strategy forum analyzing Survivor Borneo.
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Survivor was a 13 part television series on CBS in which 16 people were voluntarily marooned a desert island. Every 3 days they'd vote someone off the island until there was only one left...who would win $1 million. I'm sure you've heard of this.
I only half-heartedly watched the series during its first run, but I watched it very closely when it was replayed during the Olympics. (I find the Olympics and physical sports not strategically interesting.) I found Survivor to be a huge, blazing advertisement for "playing to win." The community on that island so closely mirrored my Street Fighter community that I was shocked. There was one expert player and 15 "scrubs." Richard Hatch, the winner of Survivor, was the only participant who really even played the game at all. He put it best when he said towards the end, "I arrived on this island at the same time as everyone else. We all saw the sign that said ‘Survivor---outwit---outplay---outlast.' That's what I've been trying to do since before I even got here, and the other 15 people seemed to think they were on vacation."
The Game
Let's take a strategic look at Survivor before we talk about Richard. There is only one reasonable, logical way to hope to win such a game. There are not two ways. There are not three ways. There is ONE way: to form a voting alliance. At first, the 16 players are divided into 2 teams of 8. Every 3 days, the teams face each other in competitions called "immunity challenges." The losing team must vote a member off. After 6 players were voted off, the teams merged, forming a single 10 person team. At this point, the immunity challenges were individual competitions, not team efforts. The individual who won such a challenge would be immune from being voted off during the next voting period.
Again, the obvious way to win this game is to form a voting alliance. If you have teammates with whom you coordinate your vote, then you have both the guarantee that their votes won't go towards you, and the power to concentrate your votes on a single opponent. The whims of other players' votes are sometimes hard to predict, but the more people you have in your alliance, the better you can control who to vote off. By doing this, you control the game. Now, you don't want too many people (too difficult to manage, and not self serving enough anyway). Yet you don't want too few (not enough voting power). An optimal number for a game of 16 people might be 4. Once those 4 become the final 4, they should amicably dissolve the alliance and each try to win. This was Rich's plan.
The Players
A four person voting alliance was not something Rich stumbled into, it was his plan all along, starting before he ever set foot on the island. Not a single other player had even considered such a thing. The other players reacted in classic scrub fashion to Rich's plan, calling it "no fun." I was just waiting for someone to call it "cheap." The other players were bound up by their own made-up rules of honor---rules the game has no knowledge of. The game knows nothing but winning and losing. One player said, "It's no fun to sit around and get picked off one by one by an alliance. If that's the way the game is going to be, then I don't want to play." Good. Get off. Why did you show up in the first place if not to win?
Jenna's kids will be real proud that her mother lost.
One player, Jenna, said that she didn't want to be part of an alliance because she wanted her young daughters to watch the show and be proud of her mother when they got older. The supposition here is that she is somehow ethically bound to play in a sloppy, non-strategic way. Rich's response was, "Jenna should make her kids proud by showing that she can WIN. She should be concerned with showing them ‘look kids, mommy has the will to win and this is how you do it.'"
Rudy was an interesting player. He initially found Rich's alliance
You gotta love Rudy.
to be somehow dishonorable, but he joined anyway and he gave his word. Above all else, Rudy keeps his word. Three episodes later, he told the camera that he had "turned 180 degrees," saying that he now believes that the alliance is absolutely necessary and that he'll stick with it until the end. When Rudy was eventually voted off, his parting words to future Survivor players were, "Forming an alliance is the only way to win this game." Yet I believe that Rudy was incredibly lucky that his nature (being true to his word) was exactly in line with what happened to be an important quality to have in the game. After all, if one is to be in an alliance, one must be trustworthy. Rudy had no superior grasp of playing competitive games, but at least he was able to see reason when Rich explained the alliance.
Another notable player was Colleen. She saw her own defeat
If only Colleen acted earlier.
coming. She saw the alliance. She saw she wasn't in it. She saw that the alliance had the power to vote her and every other non-aligned member off. Her conclusion? To form her own alliance. This was exactly the right response, but a case of too little, too late. Rich said, "I find it amusing that people are so naïve as to think they can start playing strategically at this very late stage of the game. It's far too late to start now." In fact, Colleen banded the 3 votes together, and might have gotten Kelly's crucial 4th swing vote, but failed.
Gervase was another true scrub. He initially renounced alliances
Gervase thought alliances were cheap...at first.
saying that he'd never play that way. It's cheap, you know. Once his fate was sealed and he would clearly lose to the alliance, only then did Colleen change Gervase's tune. He said, "Well, we got a new strategy, going to try a something new." He was all excited. He was talking about Colleen's alliance. He was a scrub. Scrubs often delight in feeling innovative and original when they latch on to better player's superior tactics when it's far too late to matter.